: Further to the Week
I think the biggest problem is that it's more tempting to quit after two Duels than three when it really should be the reverse. £5k/5% and £25k/25% perhaps? That might at least tempt people on to three Duels.
That said, I think my strategy now would be to turn down the fixed sum but take the proportion of the jackpot. Note also that the size of the jackpot would barely affect my decision-making - as it starts at the final point of inflection on my utility curve - but for the percentage chip. Ten (or indeed fifteen) grand with one more win for either One Rock or thirty grand, and two more for £150k? The former step means rather less than the latter. Ten grand with one more win for either One Rock or sixty grand, and two more for £300k? Completely different proposition.
The Commentariat are likening this to
(Seriously, I don't think there's ever been a UK game show where contestants have been consistently less risk-averse than
I think the biggest problem is that it's more tempting to quit after two Duels than three when it really should be the reverse. £5k/5% and £25k/25% perhaps? That might at least tempt people on to three Duels.
That said, I think my strategy now would be to turn down the fixed sum but take the proportion of the jackpot. Note also that the size of the jackpot would barely affect my decision-making - as it starts at the final point of inflection on my utility curve - but for the percentage chip. Ten (or indeed fifteen) grand with one more win for either One Rock or thirty grand, and two more for £150k? The former step means rather less than the latter. Ten grand with one more win for either One Rock or sixty grand, and two more for £300k? Completely different proposition.
The Commentariat are likening this to
Greed; I think this is perhaps down to a combination of risk-averse contestants, perhaps a slight uncertainty about the true nature of the gamble, probable uncertainty over the prospective opponents and the fact that M.N. No Deel Sod is a couple of hundred miles west-north-west of the Duel Arena, and Nick Hancock is a couple of hundred million miles away in his approach.
(Seriously, I don't think there's ever been a UK game show where contestants have been consistently less risk-averse than
Deal or No Deal. The only other possibility is
Millionaire, but even then the Duncan Bickleys and Rob Mitchells were very much the exception. How many people stopped on £64,000 even with a 50:50? Too many, that's for sure. If it were not, the new tree would not have gone £50k - £75k - £150k.)